There seems to be a common theme in the Futurist Magazine which has been running for a number of years, and that is this; in the future, many of the jobs that we have today will be obsolete. Either robots will be running them, or current technologies will have been passed over for new solutions. Therefore entire industries will not exist and they will need no workers, and thus, will provide no employment base. This is an interesting concept, and it stands to reason and we can see this phenomena in real time because it is happening today. Okay so let's talk about this for second shall we?
Disruptive technology is always hard on jobs as things move around and while old jobs are culled new jobs appear. Those new jobs also require new training, and a different sort of workforce. More often than not they require a more technologically advanced employment base, and it takes a while to get up to speed. Whereas the new jobs may pay more money, there might also be fewer of them due to robotic manufacturing labor, and new machines that help service professionals work faster.
Still, there is another problem and I'd like to say that it has to do with the current state of affairs, namely our economy in 2012. Although we aren't officially in a recession, it's close enough to call it that, especially with a number of people unemployed. Our current unemployment rate is officially at 8%, but many people are well past their 99 weeks of unemployment benefits and are no longer able to draw unemployment, or people are underemployed, and those folks simply aren't counted. There are also a huge number of college students with new degrees, entering the workforce, but they haven't held a job yet, so they don't count as being unemployed.
If we have four more years of heavy recession as we did under Obama's first term, then we could end up with tens of millions of Americans who've been laid off, and even once we get an economic recovery, all those years in between will mean that all the jobs that they used to do are now obsolete. How are we going to cope with that? Some suggest that the government should do retraining for all these unemployed workers. However, in a way that job should be done by the corporations or businesses that might hire them. Providing retraining at the cost of the taxpayer in a way is corporate welfare.
Lastly, make no mistake, it is quite possible that if you were laid off in Obama's recession that by the time the economy recovers, your job could be obsolete, leaving you SOL. Please consider all this and think on it.
Lance Winslow has launched a new provocative eBook on Future Career Advice. Lance Winslow is a retired Founder of a Nationwide Franchise Chain, and now runs the Online Think Tank; http://www.worldthinktank.net
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